Where is the way for China's foreign trade enterprises to go to sea?
With the continuous development of economic globalization, the relationship between countries has become increasingly close. But the contradictions that erupt with it are also more and more, after all, no one has too many cakes. During this period, the Sino-US trade war has also ushered in a new process!
It is understood that:
On July 17, Japan and the European Union first reached a Japan-Europe free trade agreement. The European Union will abolish 99% tariffs on Japanese goods, while Japan will abolish 94% tariffs on European Union goods.
On July 26, the United States and Europe negotiated a zero-tariff consensus and said they would strive for a free trade agreement.
In August, the United States and Japan will start free trade negotiations.
From the actions of several countries, it is not difficult to see that the three developed economies of the United States, Japan and the European Union are preparing to form a new group and abandon China with obvious intention. People in the industry have also made a lot of comments, such as "the United States, Europe and Japan have made a new start without China to play", "the European knife behind the knife, China's belly and back against the enemy" and so on.
Li Zhiqiang, CFO of Keshu, said that on July 25, the United States and the European Union reached an agreement to ease the current tense trade relations, while the European Union and Japan had reached the largest free trade agreement in the world before, indirectly, Europe, the United States and Japan had formed a trade union. Once China is excluded from the FTA, China's general trade exports will be greatly restricted, and cross-border export e-commerce will become a very big buffer.
Because cross-border e-commerce is not in the sequence of general customs trade, even after all the tariff thresholds are accumulated, cross-border e-commerce still has its own unique advantages. The country will also make great efforts to support the development of cross-border e-commerce and promote China's smart manufacturing and Chinese brands to go to sea.
However, industry insiders also pointed out that the alliance between China, Japan and Europe has not yet been finalized and can not be presumptuously concluded! And Europe, America and Japan are mostly high value-added new technology industries. Zero tariff only intensifies the competition between the two sides. While most of China's exports are ordinary products, even if Europe, America and Japan really form a zero-tariff trade circle, the impact on China's foreign trade is actually small.
In response, CEO Shi Ping of Judan Network said that it is true that most of the exports of ordinary foreign traders are popular products. Europe, the United States and Japan have not plowed deeply in these areas, and the impact is not great. However, China's export industry chain is complete, and there are high-end manufacturing industries. Once affected, its impact can be clearly reflected in the volume of transactions, and it will also pose a threat to China's overall trade transactions.
"In addition, frequent policies will lead to wait-and-see sentiment among overseas buyers. For example, the original buyer would like to place an order of one million dollars, but because the policy is not clear, it may first place 50%, the rest will change depending on the situation. Because of the uncertainty of the future market, I think the emotional impact on businessmen is still considerable.
No matter how the situation changes in the future, Shi Ping said that the traditional foreign trade enterprises need to work hard in three aspects, namely, product innovation and internal strength training, more development of the market along the way, and more Chinese Internet mode and technology advantages. He admits that it may still have an impact in the short run, but in the long run, through the three ways mentioned above, he thinks there is an optimistic side.
The above-mentioned insiders also pointed out that the alliance between Europe, Japan and the United States is also based on interests. Even if the alliance does not mean hostility to China, China's external threat has always existed, and it is imperative to boost domestic manufacturing industry. Li Zhiqiang said that at present, the European and American markets are becoming more and more saturated and have become a red sea. Emerging markets are constantly rising. With the development of the strategy of "one belt and one road" and the acceleration of global resources to China, China's intelligence is accelerating to the world.
A tree has been laid out in the emerging markets along the belt and has invested tens of millions of dollars in the construction and operation of overseas warehouses along many "one belt and one road" or related countries. In addition, a tree has also actively explored the new cross-border retail mode, and explored the new retail market along the "one belt" along the line through the integration of online and offline industries, contributing to the upgrading and upgrading of the industry.
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